8 Questions for Super Tuesday (24 estados= 3,156 delegados)

Ready to be the First Gentleman...




El Washington Post publica hoy un interesante análisis formado por 8 preguntas clave acerca del super martes y el futuro de los 4 pre-candidatos, 2 repubicanos: McCain y Romney y 2 demócratas: Clinton y Obama.


1) Will Either Race End Today? ¿Terminará hoy la contienda?

2) What Constitutes Victory? ¿Qué siginifica victoria?

3) What States Bear Watching? ¿Qué estados vale la pena observar?

4) Where Will Edwards's Voters Go? ¿A Quién apoyarán los seguidores de Edwards?

5) Can Obama Win Latino Votes? ¿Puede Obama ganar el voto Latino?

6) Will Women Continue to Be Clinton's Secret Weapon? ¿Seguirán siendo las mujeres el arma secreta de Clinton?

7) Can McCain Win Conservatives And Pro-Bush Republicans? ¿Puede McCain ganar el apoyo de los conservadores y los repubicanos pro-Bush?

8) Which Democrat Is Positioned for A Long Campaign After Today? ¿Qué demócrata puede seguir posicionado para una larga campaña después de hoy?

TiP:
¿Qué ver?

Para la contienda demócrata vale la pena seguir de cerca:
California
Missouri
Arizona
Massachusetts
New Jersey, New York

In the Democratic race, California always merits watching, and all the more because of polls showing what was a healthy lead for Clinton shrinking on the final week. Clinton would have trouble recovering if Obama wins the popular vote.
Missouri is usually a general-election bellwether, and the two candidates have appeared evenly matched there. Keys there will be winning union voters and whether Obama's support from Sen. Claire McCaskill cuts into Clinton's strength with women.
Arizona is worth watching to see whether Gov. Janet Napolitano's endorsement of Obama can overcome Clinton's strength among Hispanics.
In Massachusetts, Obama has the support of Sens. Edward M. Kennedy and John F. Kerry and of Gov. Deval L. Patrick, but Clinton is very popular there.
New Jersey has lots of delegates, and its proximity to New York makes it Clinton country, but as in California, polls show the race tightening.

Para la contienda Republicana:
California
Estados del sur como: Georgia y Tennessee
Massachusetts

In the Republican race, California is worth watching, as are such Southern states as Georgia and Tennessee. The Southern states will tell two things: how much Huckabee is hurting Romney, and how well McCain can consolidate conservatives. "Significant wins in [Tennessee and Georgia] will signify an embrace by GOP conservatives -- critical if he's going to win in November," wrote Republican pollster Neil Newhouse.
Finally, as one GOP strategist put it, if Romney loses Massachusetts, "head out to dinner and take your time. It's over."


Obama y Clinton están empatados en California, de acuerdo con las últimas encuestas.
El estado de California representa 441 delegados demócratas.

Para información acerca de las encuestas, número de delegados y demás detalles consultar aquí.

(información del Washington Post y del New York Times)



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